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New: Forecasts with confidence intervals

The escalation clause both sides agree on.

Escalake reads your price escalation clause, builds the formula, and computes each adjustment from versioned official statistics. Buyer and supplier confirm the same figure, and every step is logged.

Good morning, Priya.

2 adjustments due within 7 days.

Next adjustment · in 3 days

Steel Frame Supply 2024

Vulcan Steel CoSTEEL-2024QuarterlyDue 12 Sep 2026

+4.71%Last computed adjustment9 Sep 2026
  • PPI Steel Mill Products55%
  • ECI Manufacturing30%
  • Fixed portion15%
Open formulaContractDriver+6.9%
Overdue
0
nothing overdue
Due in 7 days
2
12 Sep · 14 Sep
Due in 30 days
5
3 quarterly · 2 monthly
Live formulas
12
across 8 contracts

Index movers

Latest vs previous release

Index Library
  • PPI Steel Mill ProductsBLS · Jul 2026 · 312.4+6.9%
  • ECI ManufacturingBLS · Jun 2026 · 168.2+3.1%
  • PPI Diesel fuelBLS · Jul 2026 · 241.8−2.4%
  • CPI All groupsABS · Jun 2026 · 141.6+0.8%
Queue 6CalendarFrequencyCounterparty
ContractIndex basisFrequencyDueLast ΔActions
This week2
Steel Frame Supply 2024Vulcan Steel Co · STEEL-2024PPI Steel Mill Products · ECI ManufacturingQuarterly3d12 Sep 2026+4.71%Open
Rebar Supply 2025Vulcan Steel Co · REBAR-2025PPI Steel Mill Products · CPI All groupsQuarterly5d14 Sep 2026+2.13%
Next 30 days3
Freight · NorthlineNorthline Logistics · FRT-2025PPI Diesel fuel · ECI TransportMonthly21d30 Sep 2026−0.84%
Concrete Sleepers 2025Bassline Precast · SLP-2025PPI Concrete products · ECI ManufacturingQuarterly22d1 Oct 2026+1.92%
Signalling MaintenanceMeridian Systems · SIG-2024ECI Professional servicesMonthly28d7 Oct 2026+3.40%
6 of 12 live formulas due within 90 daysAll contracts
Sample data · illustrative parties

Every number traces to an official statistical agency.

BLSFREDEIAECBEurostatONSStatCanABSBISBOJOECDIMFWorld BankDBnomicsNasdaq

Built for index-linked clauses

Every part in one place: no spreadsheet, no email thread, no guessing which version of the index applied.

Clause to formula

Paste the escalation clause. Escalake proposes the indices, weights and base period, with its reasoning. Nothing saves until you confirm.

Formula controls

Weighted baskets, averaging windows, publication lags, caps, floors, FX conversion, fixed non-escalating portions.

Versioned data

Every observation is stored as preliminary, final or revised, with the date it arrived. You always know which number you used.

Mutual sign-off

Buyer and supplier see the same calculation and confirm it. Questions stay attached to the adjustment, not lost in email.

Audit-grade export

PDF and Excel with formula version, component contributions, index changes, lineage and a tamper-evident hash.

Next-period forecast

Project the next adjustment with confidence intervals, so finance can budget ahead of it.

How a price adjustment gets settled

Each stage is deliberately separate. You confirm what the clause means, the engine computes the numbers, and the finished record stands on its own.

01  /  INTERPRET

Read the clause. Propose the formula.

The AI reads the escalation language, searches the index library, and proposes a weighted formula with its reasoning. It is a draft. Nothing is applied until a person confirms the mapping.

Clause · Section 12.3, price adjustment

"...the contract price shall be adjusted quarterly by reference to 55% the PPI for steel mill products, 30% the Employment Cost Index for manufacturing, with the remaining 15% held fixed, using a three month average and a one month publication lag."

PPI Steel Mill Products (WPU101)0.55
ECI Manufacturing (CIU2013000000000A)0.30
Fixed portion0.15

Proposed mapping · confidence high · awaiting your confirmation

02  /  CALCULATE

The arithmetic is deterministic.

Once the formula is set, the engine does the arithmetic with fixed-precision decimals. Weights, lags, caps and floors resolve the same way every time. Every component contribution is on the page.

Component contributions · 2024-Q3

PPI Steel Mill+3.80
ECI Manufacturing+0.93
Fixed portion0.00
Composite adjustment factor1.0471
03  /  CONFIRM

One number. Both signatures.

The buyer calculates. The supplier opens the same adjustment and sees the same components, weights and result. Both confirm. A disagreement stays recorded against the adjustment, not moved to email.

Sign-off · adjustment 2024-Q3

NRNorthgate Rail · Buyerconfirmed +4.71% on 14 Oct
VSVulcan Steel Co · Supplierconfirmed +4.71% on 15 Oct

Vulcan asked: is the PPI series preliminary or final for September?  Northgate: final, revised value received 11 Oct. Thread stays attached to this period.

04  /  PROVE

An artifact finance, legal and auditors accept.

Export the adjustment as a report: baseline, current, adjustment factor, each component, the index changes behind it, the formula version, timestamps and a hash. Something you can send on.

Price adjustment report · PDF / XLSX

Baseline composite128.40
Current composite134.45
Adjustment factor1.0471
Formula versionv3 · locked 02 Oct
Data versionFINAL
audit hash  sha256: 9f2a7c14e0b8…d1c4

From one clause to the whole portfolio

Today Escalake handles the two hard parts: the calculation and the agreement. Next is the portfolio view — total exposure across every contract you hold, the dollar impact of each adjustment, and the under-billed amounts worth recovering.

Preview
ContractExposed valueNext adjustment
Steel frame supply$18.4M84 d
Rolling stock overhaul$42.1M12 d
Signalling maintenance$7.2M203 d
Traction power$11.9M48 d

15 providers. Versioned, timestamped, revision-aware.

Official statistical series from national and international agencies. Escalake tracks revisions, so a number agreed last quarter stays traceable after the source restates it.

BLSUS Labor Statistics
FREDSt. Louis Fed
EIAUS Energy
ECBEuropean Central Bank
EurostatEU Statistics
ONSUK Statistics
StatCanStatistics Canada
ABSAustralian Bureau
BISBank for International Settlements
BOJBank of Japan
OECDOECD.Stat
IMFInternational Monetary Fund
World BankOpen Data
DBnomicsAggregator
NasdaqData Link

Or skip the interface entirely

REST API v1 returns the computed adjustment for a PAM: the percentage, the cumulative figure, the data version and the component breakdown. Wire it into procurement, ERP or accounts payable.

Read the API docs
GET /v1/pams/:id/adjustment
curl https://api.escalake.com/v1/pams/steel-frame-2024/adjustment \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $ESCALAKE_KEY"

{
  "period": "2024-Q3",
  "adjustmentPct": 4.71,
  "cumulativeAdjustmentPct": 11.38,
  "dataVersion": "FINAL",
  "components": [
    { "series": "PPI: Steel Mill Products", "weight": 0.55, "change": 6.9 },
    { "series": "ECI: Manufacturing",       "weight": 0.30, "change": 3.1 },
    { "series": "Fixed portion",            "weight": 0.15, "change": 0.0 }
  ]
}

The controls enterprise buyers ask about

Tenant isolation, encryption, access control and logging — in place before your first calculation.

Tenant isolation
Encryption at rest
TLS in transit
Encrypted API credentials
Role-based access
Multi-factor auth
Full audit logging
SSO and SCIM

One calculation, verified by both sides.

Put the clause, the data and both signatures in one place.