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Single-Index Forecast

Pick a producer or consumer price index and get a 12-month forecast with 80% and 95% confidence bands, from an ensemble of statistical time-series methods.

One series, on its own. The product runs the forecast through your actual escalation formula and your whole contract book.

Single-Index Forecast, explained

How is this index forecast calculated?

The forecast runs an ensemble of statistical time-series methods (exponential smoothing, ARIMA-family models, and others) against the index's published history, backtests each one, and combines the best performers into a single 12-month projection with 80% and 95% confidence bands.

How reliable is a 12-month index forecast?

Wider than the point estimate suggests: the 80% and 95% bands show the real range of outcomes, and both widen the further out the forecast runs. Treat this as a planning input, not a locked-in number for a contract clause.